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Sports Base rookie card; Prizm/Silver and color parallels are separate variants English In review
2018

Luka Dončić Prizm RC

2018-19 Panini Prizm Basketball · #280

Basketball Art: Unknown Panini America
Version2 with data
Gradetap to switch
Market price
Insufficient
0 of 5 sales needed in 90 days
Last sale
$191.00
May 4, 2026 · eBay via PSA Auction Prices Realized
Record
$280.00
Apr 12, 2025
Population
20,850
PSA · as of Sep 26, 2026
Graded market value
—
Needs price + population
Sales, 12 months
1
Qualifying only

Values as of Sep 26, 2026 in USD. Market price = median of at least 5 qualifying sales of this exact version and grade in the last 90 days. Methodology

Sales history

DateVersionGradePriceVenueStatusSource
Sep 20, 2026 Other parallels PSA 9 · cert 151084201 $208.50 eBay via PSA Cert Verification
auction
Cross-checked Open
Jul 6, 2026 Base PSA 9 · cert 44180182 $63.00 eBay via PSA Auction Prices Realized
auction
Verified Open
May 4, 2026 Base PSA 10 · cert 48644248 $191.00 eBay via PSA Auction Prices Realized
auction
Verified Open
Apr 12, 2025 Base PSA 10 · cert 46385238 $280.00 eBay via PSA Auction Prices Realized
auction
Verified Open

Verified: an editor or automated check confirmed the figure on the source page. Cross-checked: an independent second research pass reopened the source and confirmed it. Reported: cited by research but not re-checked; never used in metrics. Asking prices are never listed here.

Price chart

Base · PSA 10

$162.35$237.98$313.60Apr 12, 2025 · $280.00 · eBay via PSA Auction Prices RealizedMay 4, 2026 · $191.00 · eBay via PSA Auction Prices RealizedApr 12, 2025May 4, 2026
Each point is one qualifying sale (USD). Points are not an index or a forecast.

Graded population

VersionGraderGradeCountAs ofSource
BasePSA1020,850Sep 26, 2026Open
BasePSA916,908Sep 26, 2026Open

Population counts copies graded by one company in one grade. It is not a print run and it grows with every submission. Why population is not print run

Grading math for this card

Prefilled with the latest qualifying sale for each grade where one exists. Replace any value with your own. We never suggest what grade your copy will get.

Break-even chance of a PSA 10
—
Enter a grading cost to calculate.

Formula from Grading: condition, uncertainty, and economics: grading pays only if your honest chance of the high grade exceeds (raw net + cost − other-outcome net) ÷ (high-grade net − other-outcome net). The 13% fee is an editable assumption, not a quoted tariff.

About Luka Dončić Prizm RC

The 2018-19 Panini Prizm #280 Luka Doncic is his mainstream Panini Prizm rookie card in the Dallas Mavericks uniform. Collectors search for it because Prizm rookies are a major modern basketball category and because Base, Silver, and color parallels trade as different objects.

Why this card matters

Verified factThe card sits in the modern sports-card demand pattern described in ch09: the athlete matters, but the exact product, number, parallel, and grade control the comp. PSA CardFacts identifies the issue as 2018 Panini Prizm #280 Luka Doncic and records frequent PSA 9 and PSA 10 sales. The card is searched as a Luka rookie, but the useful comparison is narrower than that phrase: 2018 Panini Prizm, card #280, English, specific variant, specific grader, specific grade. [1]

Identifying the exact version

Verified factStart with card #280 and the 2018 Panini Prizm set name, then separate the standard Base card from Silver/Prizm and color parallels. PSA records a separate Red/White/Blue Prizm cert page, while CardFacts records the regular #280 page separately. That split matters because a sale of a Red/White/Blue PSA 9 is not a sale of the Base PSA 9, and a Silver/Prizm sale should not be averaged into Base comps. [1][2]

What moves the price between versions and grades

AnalysisThe largest differences come from variant and grade. PSA CardFacts showed, at access, PSA 10 Base recent prices materially above PSA 9 Base, and the Red/White/Blue cert page shows a different comparable pool. For modern Prizm rookies, surface, centering, and print issues can matter even when the card is freshly opened, so a raw card should not be valued as a guaranteed PSA 10. Use sold comps by exact variant, grader, and grade, then exclude lots and mixed parallels. [1][2][3]

Authenticity checks

Verified factCompare against official references and grading records; use multiple checks; do not rely on one photo or one database lookup. For slabbed copies, match the certification record to the card number, year, subject, grade, and variant wording, then compare the holder and images when available. Do not perform destructive tests. PSA warns that copied cert numbers exist, so a valid number is only one screening step, not complete authentication of the physical slab. [2][4]

Telling the versions apart

VersionHow to identify it
BaseCard #280 with standard Prizm design and no added Prizm/Silver or color-parallel label on a grading record.
Silver PrizmOften cataloged by PSA as Prizm; reflective silver finish. Do not merge with the base #280 sales.
Other parallelsColor and insert-channel variants such as Red/White/Blue, Blue Ice, Fast Break, Choice, and numbered parallels must be priced as their exact parallel.
Identity note: Seed identity is broadly correct. CardVolume treats Base and Silver/Prizm as separate variants because PSA and market records separate them.

What people get wrong about this card

All Luka #280 Prizm listings are the same card.
The evidence supports separating Base, Silver/Prizm, Red/White/Blue, and other parallels before using comps.
A PSA population count is the number of copies printed.
Population is a grader count, not print run or copies in existence.
A raw clean-looking copy should be priced like a PSA 10.
Grading depends on centering, surface, corners, edges, and defects; raw is not a guaranteed grade.

Based on the claims our guides decline to adopt: Risk and strategy · Case studies and corrections

Frequently asked questions

How much is a PSA 10 2018 Panini Prizm Luka Doncic #280 worth?
A PSA CardFacts APR record for Base PSA 10 showed $191 on 2026-05-04 and $280 on 2025-04-12; use exact recent comps rather than one price. [1]
How much is a PSA 9 Base Luka Doncic #280 worth?
A PSA CardFacts APR record for Base PSA 9 showed $63 on 2026-07-06, with other PSA 9 records around that period listed separately from PSA 10. [1]
Is the Silver Prizm the same as the Base card?
No; Silver/Prizm is a separate variant and should not be averaged with Base sales. [1][2]
How many PSA 10 Base copies exist?
PSA CardFacts displayed 20,850 PSA 10 Base copies at access on 2026-09-26, but that is a grading population observation, not a print run. [1]
Can I trust a PSA cert number alone?
No; PSA states copied certification numbers exist, so the physical card and holder still need inspection. [4]

Sources

  1. 2018 Panini Prizm Luka Doncic #280 PSA CardFacts — PSA (accessed Sep 26, 2026)
  2. PSA Cert Verification 51041013, Luka Doncic Red/White/Blue Prizm — PSA (accessed Sep 26, 2026)
  3. PSA Grading Standards — PSA (accessed Sep 26, 2026)
  4. PSA Certification Verification — PSA (accessed Sep 26, 2026)

Not yet established

  • Official Panini print run for the Base and non-numbered Silver/Prizm was not established.
  • Artist or photographer credit was not established from the opened sources.

Research: Codex research pass (live web) · automated source checks · independent cross-check · generated Sep 26, 2026 · awaiting editor review · updated Sep 26, 2026. Found an error? Report it.

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